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 An Over 2.5 Goals bet involves predicting whether one or both teams will score three or more goals inside 90 minutes of a match. If less than three𒅌 goals are scored, your bet will be lost.

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  1. Study The Form

  2. Head To Head

  3. Wait For The Line-ups

  4. Injuries And Other Selection Issues

  5. Analyse The Leagues

  6. Study Individual Team Goal Ratios

  7. Search 💞For Fixtures Which Include Two🔯 High Scoring Teams

  8. Investigate Why Teams Have ℱStrong Over 2.5 Goals🌌 Figures

  9. Managers & Their Footballing Philosophy

  10. Lo𝓀ok At The Game Scenario♌ For Over 2.5 Goals Tips

  11. Find The Best Possible Odds Available

  12. Sometimes It Pays To Wait

  13. Over 2.5 Goals System Bets

You can use our expert under over 2.5 goal tips and strategies to your advantage when placing your bets at any of the UK bookmakers. E𒊎verything listed below is designed to help you significantly improve your chances of winning.

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 1: Study The Form

Pos Team %
1 Liverpool Liverpool 9/11 81.82
82%
2 Manchester City Manchester City 7/11 63.64
64%
3 Arsenal Arsenal 5/11 45.45
45%

Few things in sport provide a better idea of how things will work out than form. If you see that a team is in woeful shape, then you are more able to surmise whether they are likely to concede🦩 a lot of goals or draw a blank at the other end. Of course, there are no guarantees in sport and all form, whether good or bad, will come to an꧅ end at some point.

To ensure you are up-to-date with the respective forms of teams from all across Europe, check out our Football teams stats.

infographic showing wins and losses

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 2: Head To Head

For w🔯hatever reason, most seasons, so the head-to-head history between two teams can help you predict the nature of an upcoming match. By going over old results of past seasons, you might get a decent indicator of what kind of game is in store: high-, low- or medium-scoring.

♈is an excellent app/website to use for the history of fixtures, me✱aning head-to-head comparisons are easy to access and assess.

infographic showing head-to-head example

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 3: Wait For The Line-ups

Team line-ups are announced up to an hour before kickoff, and waiting until then is the best idea for winning a bet like this. This way, you know who will be playing in the match, such as the team’s top goal scorer or number one goalkeeper. On the other hand, placing your bet early and before you know which players are taking part could prove to be problematic. If one of the teams involved has a big midweek European fixture, then the manager might well consider . As a result, the star striker could po🐬tentially get benched for this fixtꩵure, which could well impact on the amount of goals scored.

infographic on best time to bet

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 4: Injuries And Other Selection Issues

Are one of the teams involved in your mat﷽ch sufferiᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚng from selection issues such as suspensions or an injury-hit squad? If a team cannot field their number one goalkeeper or centre-back, then the likelihood of there being a higher scoring match will increase.

We recommend you regularly check out to stay up-to-date with injuries and suspensions.

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 5: Analyse The Leagues

The first thing you should do is research goal stats for individual leagues to see how often games break through the two-goal barrier. Overall stats for football across the world show that the typical game averages between 2.4 and 2.6 goals, and that is why bookmakers set the line for most games at (over/under) 2.5.

I🎃n a study done by in 2017, it was revealed that the Swiss Super League averaged more goals than any other (3.3 per game), while the Russian Premier League found itself at the opposite end of the table, averaging 1.99 per game. Finding out which leagues tend to have a🌊 high or low average number of goals is always a good place to start, and gives you the platform to then go into deeper focus on individual teams.

Over Under 2.5 Goals Infographic

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 6: Study Individual Team Goal Ratios

Certain leagues may record a high level of goals due to particular teams consistently being involved in goal-heavy games. For this reason, it is important to look at the stats for teams in detail as well as the leagues. The good news is that we have a very handy guide that allows you to do exactly that! Our Over 2.5 Goals stats page provides a record of how often teams from 29 leagues (including the major English and European 🍨leagues) see their games go over 2.🌺5 goals.

TPP Over/Under 2.5 Goals Goals Stats Table
Team / Next match %
AuxerreFrance
Auxerre
10/11 90.91
91%
FC BarcelonaSpain
FC Barcelona
11/13 84.62
85%
Hellas VeronaItaly
Hellas Verona
10/12 83.33
83%
LazioItaly
Lazio
10/12 83.33
83%
BrentfordEngland
Brentford
9/11 81.82
82%
MontpellierFrance
Montpellier
9/11 81.82
82%
Borussia DortmundGermany
Borussia Dortmund
8/10 80.00
80%
VfB StuttgartGermany
VfB Stuttgart
8/10 80.00
80%
Werder BremenGermany
Werder Bremen
8/10 80.00
80%
AtalantaItaly
Atalanta
9/12 75.00
75%
VillarrealSpain
Villarreal
9/12 75.00
75%
Brighton & Hove AlbionEngland
Brighton & Hove Albion
8/11 72.73
73%
Manchester CityEngland
Manchester City
8/11 72.73
73%
MilanItaly
Milan
8/11 72.73
73%
Olympique MarseilleFrance
Olympique Marseille
8/11 72.73
73%
ReimsFrance
Reims
8/11 72.73
73%
Tottenham HotspurEngland
Tottenham Hotspur
8/11 72.73
73%
Wolverhampton WanderersEngland
Wolverhampton Wanderers
8/11 72.73
73%
Bayer 04 LeverkusenGermany
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
7/10 70.00
70%
Eintracht FrankfurtGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
7/10 70.00
70%
Holstein KielGermany
Holstein Kiel
7/10 70.00
70%
VfL Bochum 1848Germany
VfL Bochum 1848
7/10 70.00
70%
VfL WolfsburgGermany
VfL Wolfsburg
7/10 70.00
70%
Celta de VigoSpain
Celta de Vigo
9/13 69.23
69%
Aston VillaEngland
Aston Villa
7/11 63.64
64%
Leicester CityEngland
Leicester City
7/11 63.64
64%
Manchester UnitedEngland
Manchester United
7/11 63.64
64%
RennesFrance
Rennes
7/11 63.64
64%
StrasbourgFrance
Strasbourg
7/11 63.64
64%
West Ham UnitedEngland
West Ham United
7/11 63.64
64%
Deportivo AlavesSpain
Deportivo Alavés
8/13 61.54
62%
SC FreiburgGermany
SC Freiburg
6/10 60.00
60%
TSG HoffenheimGermany
TSG Hoffenheim
6/10 60.00
60%
EspanyolSpain
Espanyol
7/12 58.33
58%
FiorentinaItaly
Fiorentina
7/12 58.33
58%
InterItaly
Inter
7/12 58.33
58%
ParmaItaly
Parma
7/12 58.33
58%
VeneziaItaly
Venezia
7/12 58.33
58%
Le HavreFrance
Le Havre
6/11 54.55
55%
LiverpoolEngland
Liverpool
6/11 54.55
55%
NantesFrance
Nantes
6/11 54.55
55%
Olympique LyonnaisFrance
Olympique Lyonnais
6/11 54.55
55%
Las PalmasSpain
Las Palmas
7/13 53.85
54%
OsasunaSpain
Osasuna
7/13 53.85
54%
ComoItaly
Como
6/12 50.00
50%
NapoliItaly
Napoli
6/12 50.00
50%
Rayo VallecanoSpain
Rayo Vallecano
6/12 50.00
50%
Real MadridSpain
Real Madrid
6/12 50.00
50%
RomaItaly
Roma
6/12 50.00
50%
TorinoItaly
Torino
6/12 50.00
50%
UdineseItaly
Udinese
6/12 50.00
50%
Borussia MonchengladbachGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5/10 50.00
50%
FSV Mainz 05Germany
FSV Mainz 05
5/10 50.00
50%
HeidenheimGermany
Heidenheim
5/10 50.00
50%
AFC BournemouthEngland
AFC Bournemouth
5/11 45.45
45%
BolognaItaly
Bologna
5/11 45.45
45%
ChelseaEngland
Chelsea
5/11 45.45
45%
EvertonEngland
Everton
5/11 45.45
45%
FulhamEngland
Fulham
5/11 45.45
45%
Ipswich TownEngland
Ipswich Town
5/11 45.45
45%
LOSC LilleFrance
LOSC Lille
5/11 45.45
45%
Newcastle UnitedEngland
Newcastle United
5/11 45.45
45%
NiceFrance
Nice
5/11 45.45
45%
Saint-EtienneFrance
Saint-Étienne
5/11 45.45
45%
SouthamptonEngland
Southampton
5/11 45.45
45%
ValenciaSpain
Valencia
5/11 45.45
45%
CagliariItaly
Cagliari
5/12 41.67
42%
GenoaItaly
Genoa
5/12 41.67
42%
JuventusItaly
Juventus
5/12 41.67
42%
RB LeipzigGermany
RB Leipzig
4/10 40.00
40%
St. PauliGermany
St. Pauli
4/10 40.00
40%
Athletic ClubSpain
Athletic Club
5/13 38.46
38%
GironaSpain
Girona
5/13 38.46
38%
SevillaSpain
Sevilla
5/13 38.46
38%
Angers SCOFrance
Angers SCO
4/11 36.36
36%
ArsenalEngland
Arsenal
4/11 36.36
36%
Crystal PalaceEngland
Crystal Palace
4/11 36.36
36%
Nottingham ForestEngland
Nottingham Forest
4/11 36.36
36%
LecceItaly
Lecce
4/12 33.33
33%
MonzaItaly
Monza
4/12 33.33
33%
Atletico MadridSpain
Atlético Madrid
4/13 30.77
31%
LeganesSpain
Leganés
4/13 30.77
31%
MallorcaSpain
Mallorca
4/13 30.77
31%
Real BetisSpain
Real Betis
4/13 30.77
31%
FC Union BerlinGermany
FC Union Berlin
3/10 30.00
30%
EmpoliItaly
Empoli
3/12 25.00
25%
Real SociedadSpain
Real Sociedad
3/13 23.08
23%
LensFrance
Lens
2/11 18.18
18%

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 7: Search For Fixtures Which Include Two High Scoring Teams

Once you have analysed the over 2.5 goals record of a team, you can then look at upcoming fixtures to see when two high scoring teams will meet each other. For example, if 70% of games of Team A feature over 2.5 goals for the season and they are coming up against Team B – whose games have featured over 2.5 goals 60% of the time – then these statistics suggest there is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals occurring.

infographic showing where to find match fixtures

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 8: Investigate Why Teams Have Strong Over 2.5 Goals Figures

Once you are familiar with which teams are regularly involved in under/over 2.5 goal-games, it is useful to see exactly why. Is it down to a team playing front-foot, attacking football with little defensive responsibility? Is it down to a team being extremely clinical in front of goal? These are the questions you need to be asking yourself. Furthermore, this is where the Expected Goals (xG) model can come into use. For example, a team may be recording a high level of over 2.5 goal games – however, their xG may be much lower, which would mean the team has been very efficient in putting their chances away. In the long term, this is likely (though not certain) to revert to the mean, as it is unlikely that they will continue to be clinical to such a level. On the other hand, a team may be seeing relatively few games with over 2.5 goals, but their xG figure is above 2.5. This would imply they are creating great chances but are not putting them away. Again, this is likely to level out in the long term and lead to a larger volume of over 2.5 goal games.

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 9: Managers & Their Footballing Philosophy

It is well-known that certain managers are associated with goal-heavy games. Jurgen Klopp and his “heavy metal football” is one example, with this sort of playing style often conducive to over 2.5 winners. Pep Guardiola is another manager that sticks to his ball dominating, attacking football, which again, usually results in goals. Flip this on its head and you can look at “safety first” managers, who deliberately set up to be defensively sound and make their side difficult to beat. Studying how loyal managers are to their philosophies is a wise move when looking at the under/over 2.5 goals marke𝓡ts.

infographic of managerial philosophies

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 10: Look At The Game Scenario For Over 2.5 Goals Tips

So much can hinge on a game scenario. For example, if there is a game played over two legs and the first leg ends 3-0, then the team that lost simply have to come out in the second leg to try and score three goals. This can dramatically change the playing style of a team and make one team come out and attack, which may leave gaps for the opposition to exploit. However, bear in mind that, understandably in these scenarios, goals tend to be well-backed by punters which may lead to a drop in odds – in extreme situations, the goal line can even move to as far as 3.5. It is then up to you to decide whether this is just or is simply an overreaction.

infographic of game scenarios

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 11: Find The Best Possible Odds Available

This is something you should be doing regardless of what market you are betting on. Scouring the internet to see which bookmaker is offering the best odds for under/over 2.5 goals on your selected game is crucial.

From our research, bet365 and Coral are three of the best bookmakers to use when b꧅ettiಞng on this market.

As a further tip, it is also worth looking into the Asian Goal Line market at bookmakers where it is available, as it can sometimes offer a better price tha🅷n the standard under/over 2.5 goals market despite be༒ing a distinctly similar bet. They do differ slightly, though. While the over/under market typically only includes half goals to ensure that a winning or losing bet is established every time, Asian markets include quarter and full goals.

For instance, you can bet on whether there will be over/under 3.0 markets.♔ If 🌠the number of goals scored in the given match is three, punters will have their stake refunded.

Asian markets also tend to be more competitive, and therefore greater l🐼iquidity and subsequently better odds are available. It might not be by much, but it is these fine margins that make the difference🐼 over the long term.

Which bookies have the best odds?

  1. bet365

  2. Parimatch

  3. The Pools

  4. Unibet

  5. Ladbrokes

  6. 10bet

  7. Bet UK

  8. BetVictor

  9. Coral

  10. Betfred

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 12: Sometimes It Pays To Wait

If you want a better price for your under/over 2.5 goals selection, then it may well pay to wait until 🦄the game goes In-Play. You can then take a better pr🎐ice should the game still be 0-0 after 10 minutes, for example.

Alternatively, if there have been 2 goals scored in a game that is approaching 70 minutes, then in many situations you will be able to get a price around even money for another goal to be scored in the remainder of the match. This could be an angle to consider when looking at #6 and the need for a team to score in their respective game scenario.

infographic on why it pays to wait

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy 13: System Bets

It is worth your while to consider placing system bets of at least three selections on the over 2.5 market, as these give you the leeway to lose a selection or two while keeping the bet alive. This flexibility is something that a straight-up accumulator does not afford a bettor. System bets begin at three selections and include common system bet types such as Trixies, patents, Yankees and Canadians. These are particularly rewarding if the odds on your selections are all even monꦰey or higher.

infographic on system bets

The whole purpose of this wager is to test your prediction skills as to whether or not a certain number of goals scored in a game will be higher or lower than a specified total. It doesn’t have to be under/over 2.5 goals either; you will normally be able to choose which specified total you want to bet on before deciding whether to back 🍸under or over the amount you have selected.

For your bet to win, you need the total amount of goals scored in the match to equate to your prediction. For example, if👍 you back under 2.5 goals and the game ends 1-1, you win. However, if you back higher than 2.5 goals and the match ends 2-0, you lose.

Tips on Why to Bet on Under/Over 2.5 Goals

There are plenty of reasons to bet on the over 2.5 goals market – we've listed just a few below.

  • List Icon

    A lot of the time, no matter how much we love it, football is not a high-scoring game. Even so, you are always in with a shout of generally getting good odds on over 2.5 goals, although this will obviousl♓y fluctuate depending on which teams are involved.

  • List Icon

    It is also well✤ worth taking into consideration that, because this is one of the most popular markets ⛦for bettors, there is usually excellent liquidity to take advantage of. As a result, there is regularly better value to be had.

  • List Icon

    Of course, it helps that with this type of bet you do not need to pick a winning team, or nominate the final score – just simply predict if there will be at least three goals or not.

It is worth remembering that you, as the bettor, are not limited to under/over 2.5 goals – there are always other types of goal-related markets for you to consider. We've outlined and described a few of these here.

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

A bet on under/over 0.5 goals is exactly the same as 2.5 market, but better suited to what is likely to be a low-scoring game. To win this bet, you will need to successfully decide whether a game will result in more or less than one goal. If you went higher, then any score line over 0-0 would win. Likewise, if you go lower, then a 0-0 draw is enough to win your money back.

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

Again, this is much the same thing; here, however, you can bet whether the total number of goals in a football match will be above or below 1.5 goals. Over in this bet equates to two goals or more, while less than 1.5 goals would mean one or no goals to be scored in 90 minutes.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Over/under 3.5 Goals is a 90-minute bet in which you are betting on either three goals or less to be scored in a match. A winning bet on under 3.5 goals would be on score lines such as 4⛄-0, while a winning under 3.5 goals bet could be 2-1.

Betting on the under/over 2.5 goals markets can be rewarding, and with the right tips, it isn’t a particularly tricky wager to pull off. With a market such as this, you don't have to worry about the result – the number of goals is your primary focus instead.

If you do decide to give this type of bet a go, try and look for teams who are potent in attack and/or poor in defence. As ever, do your homework and utilise all of the information and stats available at your fingertips and remember, knowledge is power – the more of it you arm yourself with, the bigger the advantage you have!

No – the beauty of this bet is that you are betting on a꧑n u🐠nder/over amount of goals being scored, not who scores them.

Yes – any goals that apply to the end result count towaℱrds this bet.

Unfortunately not – unless specifically stated, this is a 90-minute bet only.

These two markets are pretty similar, but Asian goal lines ꧒offer quarter and half goal options as well as full goꩲal options. Punters also have the chance to get their stake refunded.

Our KickForm page is a brilliant place to source goals stats for a vaജriety of European leagues.

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♊꧙  WRITTEN BY Matteo Ebejer  ⭕ View all posts by Matteo Ebejer

Hi, I'm Matteo, a writer who's passionate about all things sports. The typical weekend for me revolves around being glued to all things football on TV, ruining my Fantasy Premier League team, and getting off my lazy butt for a run.

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